Asian Development Bank: Reduce India's growth forecast from 7.0% to 6.5% in 2024 and from 7.2% to 7.0% in 2025.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.The chief operating officer of BlackRock seeks to improve its technical and artificial intelligence capabilities. The chief operating officer of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, said on Tuesday that the company is looking for opportunities to expand its technical capabilities, including in the field of artificial intelligence. Rob Goldstein, chief operating officer of BlackRock, said in an interview at a conference in new york: "There are always some capabilities that can be improved."
Russia said it had fought against the Ukrainian ammunition depot and repulsed Russia's repeated attacks. On the 10th local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that the Russian army had taken control of a settlement in Donetsk on the same day, and attacked the Ukrainian ammunition depot, electronic warfare base stations, armored vehicles and other targets. Russian air defense forces shot down several rockets and dozens of drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, the Russian army continued to crack down on Ukrainian personnel and equipment in Kursk region, Russia. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a war report, saying that as of the afternoon of the 10th, the Ukrainian army had nearly 100 battles with the Russian army in Kharkov, Kupyansk, Hongliman and other areas. The Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and repelled many Russian attacks.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Supervision intervened in the illegal use of self-built valuation models by financial subsidiaries. The reporter was informed that in view of the recent "self-built valuation model" prevalent in financial subsidiaries, the financial supervision department began to intervene and issued a notice requiring financial subsidiaries not to iron out the fluctuation of product net value through illegal closing price, smooth valuation and self-built valuation models. (21st century business herald)
In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever in Brazil exceeded 6.76 million. On December 10, local time, according to the latest data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, this year, the number of suspected and confirmed cases of dengue fever in Brazil rose to 6,763,743, and the number of deaths rose to 5,950, with another 1,091 deaths to be verified. In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever infection in Brazil reached a record high since the country's epidemic record, which was three times that of 2023. The death toll of dengue fever has also reached a record high, four times that of 2023. The regions with the highest infection rates are federal capital territory, minas gerais, Balana and Sã o Paulo.Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Korea: We will pay close attention to the financial and foreign exchange market trends and take adequate measures to curb excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide